Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) Implied Volatility
Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) options trade at a 30-day at-the-money implied volatility of 45.2%, an IV rank of 25 out of 100 over the past year. This page breaks down MSBT's implied volatility in plain English: where it sits versus its own history, how it compares with realized movement, and what the term structure and skew are saying.
Data as of Jul 10, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · OPRA data 15 minutes delayed · For information only — not investment advice.
Implied Volatility & Expected Move
MSBT 30-day at-the-money implied volatility, past year.
| ATM IV — front expiration | 45.2% |
| ATM IV — 2 month | 37.8% |
| IV rank (1 year) | 25 / 100 |
| IV percentile (1 year) | 30% |
| Expected move (front expiration) | ±$1.16 (±6.3%) |
| Term slope (front − 3M) | +7.4 pts |
| 25Δ skew (front) | -3.5 pts |
An IV rank of 25 places current implied volatility in the lower part of its 52-week range. The term structure is in backwardation — front-month IV exceeds 3-month IV, a pattern often seen around near-term events.
MSBT IV Rank History
MSBT IV rank (0–100), past year.
IV rank has risen from 0 in Jun '26 to 25 today. An IV percentile of 30% means implied volatility was lower than today on 30% of trading days in the past year.
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MSBT Options FAQ
What is the implied volatility of MSBT options?
MSBT options trade at a 30-day at-the-money implied volatility of 45.2% as of Jul 10, 2026. That is an IV rank of 25 out of 100, meaning implied volatility is subdued relative to its own 52-week range.
Is MSBT implied volatility high or low right now?
By its own 52-week standards, MSBT implied volatility is currently low: IV rank is 25 out of 100 as of Jul 10, 2026.
What move do MSBT options imply before the next expiration?
Front-expiration MSBT options imply a one-standard-deviation move of ±$1.16 (±6.3%) as of Jul 10, 2026, derived from at-the-money option prices.
What is the difference between MSBT's IV rank and IV percentile?
IV rank (currently 25) measures where today's implied volatility sits between its 52-week low and high. IV percentile (currently 30%) counts the share of trading days in the past year with lower implied volatility than today. Percentile is less distorted by one-off volatility spikes.
Methodology. IV rank compares the current 30-day at-the-money implied volatility with its highest and lowest values over the past 52 weeks. Max pain is the strike that minimizes the total payout to option holders at expiration. The call and put walls are the strikes carrying the largest call and put open interest across all expirations. Net gamma exposure (GEX) is measured from the dealer perspective. All statistics are derived from delayed OPRA options data.
Options trading involves significant risk, and losses can exceed your initial investment. Always consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. OptiView does not provide financial advice; all figures on this page are descriptive statistics, not recommendations.